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Predicting the Cowboys Week 11 matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs – Blogging The Boys

Summary

The Dallas Cowboys and Kansas City Chiefs matchup features one quarterback trying to get back on track while dealing with a bottom ten defense, and the other quarterback is attempting to solidify his MVP candidacy with a team that has its sights set on the Super Bowl. If you had heard those facts six months ago, which statement would you believe applied to the Cowboys?

Well, here we are, and the Cowboys are a legitimately great team. But this matchup is drast…….

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The Dallas Cowboys and Kansas City Chiefs matchup features one quarterback trying to get back on track while dealing with a bottom ten defense, and the other quarterback is attempting to solidify his MVP candidacy with a team that has its sights set on the Super Bowl. If you had heard those facts six months ago, which statement would you believe applied to the Cowboys?

Well, here we are, and the Cowboys are a legitimately great team. But this matchup is drastically more interesting than it would have been a month ago. The Chiefs are finding their stride again as we expected they eventually would. In fact, the Cowboys come into this game as underdogs by 2.5 points according to DraftKings Sportsbook.

But what should we anticipate in a game that has the highest over/under of the week (56.5 points)?

The Cowboys offense

Set Number: X161527 TK1

The burning question for the Cowboys offense is which Kansas City defense we will see in Week 11. Is it going to be the defense that was surrendering 30 points per game a month ago, or will it be the one allowing 38 total points over their last three games?

While the Chiefs defense looks dramatically improved from their implosion over the first five games, they haven’t exactly faced an offensive gauntlet over the last three weeks. The Giants, a Packers team led by Jordan Love, and the Raiders aren’t exactly a defense’s worst nightmare. Is the Chiefs defense better now than it was a few weeks ago? Yes, but this is still a defense in the bottom half of the league.

Kansas City is especially weak against the pass. Not only are they surrendering 7.7 yards per pass attempt, which is among the bottom three in the league, but they are allowing an average passer rating of 99.5. This means that Dak Prescott, who currently leads the league in passer rating, should have a field day with this defense.

But one glaring weakness stands out as the Chiefs’ Achilles heel above all others -their first- and second-down defense. Kansas City actually falls around the league average for rushing defense on early downs, but their pass defense on these downs is horrendous.

The Chiefs currently rank 31st in the league defending against the pass on first down and 31st in this metric on second …….

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2021/11/18/22788200/predicting-the-cowboys-week-11-matchup-against-the-kansas-city-chiefs-dak-prescott-mike-mccarthy